Socio-economic outcome area 12

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children are not overrepresented in the child protection system

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Target 12

By 2031, reduce the rate of overrepresentation of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children (0–17 years old) in out-of-home care by 45%.

Nationally in 2023, the rate of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0–17 years in out‑of‑home care was 57.2 per 1,000 children in the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population (figure CtG12.1).

The 2023 rate is below the rate in 2021 (57.6 per 1,000 children) but it is an increase from 54.2 per 1,000 children in 2019 (the baseline year).

Nationally, based on progress from the baseline, the target is worsening. This assessment is provided with a high level of confidence. Please refer to the How to interpret the data page for more information.

The assessment below reflects progress from the baseline (improvement, worsening or no change).

NSWVicQldWASATasACTNTAust
Assessment of progress 2019 to 2023ImprovementWorseningWorseningImprovementWorseningNo changeImprovementImprovementWorsening
Confidence level HighHighHighLowHighLowLowHighHigh

right arrow improvement rectangle no change left arrow worsening not applicable as required data not available. tick good improvement and target on track to be met. circle improvement but target not on track to be met.

Note: These assessments of progress are provided with a 'High' or 'Low' level of confidence. An assessment reported with a High level of confidence is considered to be more reliable than one reported with a Low level of confidence. Please see the 'How to interpret the data' page for more information.

Disaggregations

Data tables appear under figures

By sex

Nationally in 2022, the rate of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0–17 years in out‑of‑home care was similar for males and females (56.9 and 56.5 per 1,000 population respectively) (figure CtG12.2).

By age group

Nationally in 2022, rates for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children in out‑of‑home care varied by age group. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 10–14 years and 5–9 years had the highest rates of out‑of‑home care (65.5 and 64.5 per 1,000 children respectively), while those aged under one year had the lowest rate (26.5 per 1,000 children) (figure CtG12.3). The national rate for children aged less than one year old decreased for the first time in the four years of reported data and is now below the rate in the 2019 baseline year.

By disability status

Nationally in 2022, 20.3% of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children in out-of-home care had a reported disability (figure CtG12.4). However, this proportion needs to be considered with caution as there is a large proportion of children (31.5%) for whom disability status is unknown (figure CtG12.4).

Target data specifications

Target 12: Reduce the rate of children in out-of-home care

Outcome:

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children are not overrepresented in the child protection system.

Target:

By 2031, reduce the rate of overrepresentation of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children (0–17 years old) in out‑of‑home care by 45%.

Indicator:

The rate of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0–17 years in out‑of‑home care.

Measure:

This measure is defined as:

Numerator – number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0–17 years in out‑of‑home care, at 30 June

Denominator – number of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged 0–17 years in the population, at 30 June

and is presented as a rate per 1,000 children.

Target established:

National Agreement on Closing the Gap July 2020

Latest dashboard update:

6 March 2024

Indicator type:

Target

Interpretation of change:

A low or decreasing rate is desirable.

Data source(s):

Name (numerator all and denominator for data by disability status): Child Protection National Minimum Data Set (CP NMDS)

Frequency: Annual

Name (denominator): Estimates and Projections for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population

Frequency: Annual (revised data for 2019 and 2020 in the March 2022 Dashboard update)

Documentation (links): https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports-data/health-welfare-services/child-protection/overview

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/people/aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-peoples/estimates-and-projections-aboriginal-and-torres-strait-islander-australians.

Data provider:

Provider name (numerator): Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW)

Provider area: Child protection

Provider name (denominator): Australian Bureau of Statistics

Provider area: Demography

Baseline year:

2019

Latest reporting period:

2023 (target)

2022 (target disaggregations)

Target year:

2031

Disaggregations:

State and territory and Australia, by Indigenous status.

State and territory and Australia, by Indigenous status, by sex.

State and territory and Australia, by Indigenous status, by age.

State and territory and Australia, by Indigenous status, by disability status.

Computation:

Numerator divided by Denominator multiplied by 1,000.

Counting rules

Includes (numerator):

  • Children in out‑of‑home care including where a financial payment was offered but declined by the carer.

Excludes (numerator):

  • People for whom Indigenous status was not stated.

Denominator (excluding disability status):

  • The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population is calculated from Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population estimates and projections at 30 June of the reference period (series B).
  • The non-Indigenous population is calculated by subtracting the 30 June Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population from the 30 June total population (except for the most recent year, where the population at 31 March is used for the total population).

Numerator (disability status):

  • The number of children with disability in out‑of‑home care at 30 June.

Denominator (disability status):

  • Number of children aged 0–17 years in out-of-home care at 30 June.

Disaggregations:

  • Sex relates to biological primary sexual characteristics, as reported by a person or as determined by an interviewer. Children classified as having an ‘indeterminate/not stated’ sex are excluded from the analysis by sex.
  • Age is based on date of birth where known but can also be collect directly or estimated. Children with unknown age are excluded from the analysis by age.
  • Disability is an indicator that a disability is experienced, and is recorded as yes (with disability), no (without disability) or not stated/inadequately described (disability status unknown). There are high proportions of children with ‘disability status unknown’ so these proportions are reported separately as part of the analysis. Disability is a multidimensional and complex concept and differences may exist across jurisdictions in how disability is defined. There are also differences in how information about disability is captured in jurisdictional processes and client information systems.

Supporting calculations

Data quality considerations:

2019 (to 30 June) was the first year that a single nationally consistent definition of out‑of‑home care has been applied across all states and territories. Prior to this, reporting of out‑of‑home care was not nationally consistent, and therefore historical data are not provided for this target.

Data by Indigenous status are influenced by the quality of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander identification of young people in the CP NMDS (not stated categories are reported separately in the data table).

From 2022, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northen Territory have adopted a policy of suppressing numbers below five and AIHW has applied additional suppression. 

Comparisons of rates since 2016 should be used with caution, as the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population estimates are underestimated. Please refer to the How to interpret the data page for more information.

Disaggregations:

  • Disability status: data are reported as a proportion of children in out‑of‑home care by their disability status, providing a different measure to other reporting for this target.

Future reporting:

Additional disaggregations required for future reporting:

  • disability status calculated as a rate per 1,000 children in the population by disability status (as per the target measure).

Supporting indicators

Driver

Contextual information

  • Proportion of children (0-17 years old) who spent time in out-of-home care by length of time categories that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander

    e.g. 12 months, 24 months etc.

  • Measuring progress of the application of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Child Placement Principle (ATSICPP): Proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children in out-of-home care

    By type of placement; by relationship with caregiver

  • Proportion of children aged 0-17 in out-of-home care that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander who were placed with relatives or kin, or other Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander carers
  • Proportion of children aged 0-17 in out-of-home care that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander who have current documented and approved cultural support plans
  • Proportion of children admitted to out-of-home care that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
  • Proportion of children who exited out-of-home-care to a permanency outcome that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
  • Proportion of children 0-17 discharged from out-of-home care that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
  • Proportion of children that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander aged 0-16 who exited out-of-home care to reunification in the previous year and did not return to out-of-home care in 12 months or less
  • Proportion of children who were subjects of substantiations of notifications that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
  • Rates of substantiation of a notification by type of abuse

    Including emotional abuse, neglect, physical abuse and sexual abuse

  • Proportion of children who were the subject of a substantiation of a notification that are Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander by type of abuse

    Including emotional abuse, neglect, physical abuse and sexual abuse


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