Outcome
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander students achieve their full learning potential.
Target
By 2031, increase the proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people (age 20-24) attaining year 12 or equivalent qualification to 96 per cent.
Target: | By 2031, increase the proportion of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander students (age 20–24) attaining year 12 or equivalent qualification to 96 per cent. |
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Domain: | Education |
Outcome: | Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander students achieve their full learning potential. |
Numerator: | Number of Indigenous Australians aged 20–24, who have attained a school qualification of Year 12 or equivalent, or attained a non-school qualification at Certificate level III or above based on the Australian Qualifications Framework. |
Denominator: | Number of Indigenous Australians aged 20–24. |
Computation: | 100 x (numerator ÷ denominator)
|
Data source: | ABS Census of Population and Housing |
Notes: | Data also available from ABS Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Health Survey and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Survey. These data can be used as supplementary data source to monitor progress, particularly in intercensal years. |
Prepared by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW).
Baseline data for the target measure is presented below at a national level, and for each state and territory where available. This will show starting points for each target, by jurisdiction.
Year | NSW | VIC | QLD | WA | SA | TAS | ACT | NT | Australia(f) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2001 | 42.5 | 48.9 | 50.9 | 32.2 | 31.4 | 44.3 | 66.2 | 13.0 | 39.4 |
2006 | 47.9 | 53.2 | 56.2 | 37.4 | 39.5 | 54.7 | 63.1 | 16.8 | 45.3 |
2011 | 53.5 | 59.6 | 60.9 | 43.4 | 48.0 | 54.9 | 68.3 | 27.0 | 51.8 |
2016 | 64.3 | 69.6 | 69.5 | 57.4 | 61.4 | 62.7 | 77.4 | 37.5 | 63.2 |
Year | NSW | VIC | QLD | WA | SA | TAS | ACT | NT | Australia(f) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2001 | 78.1 | 79.3 | 78.3 | 75.5 | 72.6 | 64.3 | 87.6 | 71.7 | 77.6 |
2006 | 82.8 | 85.7 | 83.3 | 80.8 | 77.2 | 73.9 | 90.6 | 75.2 | 82.9 |
2011 | 85.1 | 87.7 | 85.0 | 83.7 | 81.4 | 76.9 | 91.1 | 79.4 | 85.3 |
2016 | 88.4 | 90.0 | 88.8 | 87.6 | 85.2 | 79.0 | 92.9 | 83.8 | 88.5 |
Source
Australian Census of Population and Housing, 2001-2016.
Notes
The national target trajectories presented below reflect the possible rate of progress over the next decade to achieve the target. In practice, the rate of progress is unlikely to be the same from year to year.
The target trajectory can be compared with the two related trajectories: the projected rates of progress for Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians based on the assumption the historic rate of change will continue into the future.
Prepared by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW).
Source
AIHW analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Census of Population and Housing and Survey of Education and Work data.
Line label | Line | Method/assumptions | Annual change (percentage points) | 2031 rate (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Historical trend: Non-Indigenous rate |
Dark red solid |
Percentage of non-Indigenous Australians aged 20–24 with Year 12 or equivalent qualifications, 4 data points (2001, 2006, 2011, and 2016). | 0.7 | . . |
Continuation of historical trend: non-Indigenous |
Dark red dashed |
The annual rate of change observed in the ABS Survey of Education and Work (SEW) for all Australians aged 20-24 for the period 2008 to 2019 (12 data points) was determined using linear regression(a). SEW data are collected annually so more data points are available than from the Census. SEW data for Year 12 or equivalent in the 20-24 age group shows up and down fluctuations from year-to-year, so the longer 2008 to 2019 period was chosen instead of a more recent period to estimate the annual average change in Year 12 attainment. This annual change was then applied to the Census data for non-Indigenous Australians. | 0.5 | 96.0 |
Historical trend: Indigenous rate |
Grey blue solid |
Percentage of Indigenous Australians aged 20–24 with Year 12 or equivalent qualifications, 4 data points (2001, 2006, 2011, and 2016). | 1.6 | . . |
Continuation of historical trend: Indigenous |
Grey blue dashed |
Straight line projection based on linear regression of historical data for Indigenous Australians (using 4 data points)(a). | 1.6 | 85.0 |
Target trajectory |
Orange dashed |
Straight line projection from 2016 value to the target rate in 2031. | 2.2 | 96.0 |
. . = not applicable.
Prepared by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW).
Source
AIHW analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Census of Population and Housing and Survey of Education and Work data.